The United States raised interest rates again. Multinational currencies collapsed overnight. Experts: This is a financial plunder!

Recently, many economists and financial institutions have come up with a very terrible corollary – the Fed is likely to raise interest rates four times this year. Affected by this, the Hong Kong dollar tumbled to a 33-year low last month. Seeing that we must break through the psychological threshold of “7.85”, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority was forced to once again set off the Hong Kong dollar’s ​​defense and used more than 20 billion Hong Kong dollar foreign exchange reserves to stabilize the situation. . Today, Hong Kong, China, has just relived its turmoil, and a large number of countries are also caught in the same dangerous situation!
The Argentine currency collapsed, emergency use of 10 billion foreign reserves, crazy increase interest rate to 40%!
According to reports, on May 3, local time, the Argentine peso fell by 7.8% against the US dollar for a time, which was the largest since the country achieved a free floating exchange rate; Argentina’s century bond price also hit a record low, and the yield rose to 8.199%. In general, exchange rate fluctuations of more than 1% in the general country are no small fluctuations. However, since the beginning of this year, the cumulative decline of the Argentine peso against the US dollar has already reached more than 15%, and it is subject to very great pressure for devaluation.
To curb the rapid decline of the peso, the Bank of Argentina first announced a rate hike of 300 basis points, raising the benchmark interest rate from the previous 27.25% to 30.25%, and firing the first shot of the “peso defending battle”. But this time the effect of the bailout was not good, and the plunging trend of the peso still did not stop. The central bank raised the interest rate by 300 basis points again on May 3. However, the plunge of the peso still continued, and Argentina was forced to make heavy fists again. On May 4th, the rate hike was 675 basis points. At this time, the interest rate has reached 40% (which means that the bank deposits 100 yuan each year. Up to 40 yuan in interest).
The rate of interest rate increases this time, it takes almost 20 years for normal countries to complete, and Argentina has also paid a very heavy price – it consumes a lot of valuable foreign exchange reserves. It is reported that the Argentine Central Bank has used 6.777 billion U.S. dollars of foreign exchange reserves in March and April of this year. If we count the 4.8 billion U.S. dollars that were spent on these occasions, Argentina has already consumed more than 10 billion U.S. dollars to support the peso exchange rate. With 20% of its total foreign exchange reserves (Argentina currently owns only $56.7 billion in foreign exchange reserves), economists expect it to be just the beginning!
The Fed lifted a butcher knife. Turkey, Poland, etc. also became lambs to be slaughtered.
In fact, Argentina’s experience of being forced to raise interest rates three times in eight days is not an example. Many emerging market countries’ currencies have been criticized. In Turkey, the continuous collapse of the Lira against the US dollar has hit a historical low; even in Poland, where the economy is doing well, the country’s currency zloty is still being sold. According to JPMorgan Chase, emerging market currencies such as the Russian Ruble, Brazilian Real, Turkish Lira, and South African Rand have fallen as much as 5% since April.
Although there are also many problems within these countries, the “culprit” that caused this situation is exactly the United States. Since December 2015, the Fed has raised interest rates six times. If the rate is actually increased four times this year (the rate has been raised once in March this year), the dollar will continue to strengthen and the yield on US Treasury will be pushed up. In this context, more and more investors have started to sell currencies, stocks and bonds in emerging markets, which has brought tremendous pressure on these economies and even evolved into a “financial slaughter!”
Historically, the Fed’s interest rate hikes have had little effect on countries with stable economies and rich foreign reserves. Countries with weak economic structures and insufficient foreign exchange savings often fall into economic collapse. This time, Argentina and other countries have become under the butcher’s knife. The lamb is left to die. The British “Financial Times” said that if the US dollar continues to strengthen in the future, it may trigger longer-term and larger-scale selling of assets in emerging markets, and countries such as Argentina and Turkey will face more pain.
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美国又加息，多国货币一夜崩溃？专家：这是一场金融掠夺！
近期，很多经济学家和金融机构都得出了一个非常可怕的推论——美联储很可能在今年加息四次。受此影响，港币在上个月暴跌至33年低位，眼看就要突破“7.85”的心理关口，香港金管局被迫再次打响港币保卫战，动用了200多亿港元的外汇储备才稳住局面。如今，中国香港才刚刚缓过气来，还有一大串国家也陷入了同样险境的处境！
阿根廷货币崩溃，紧急动用100亿外储，疯狂加息至40%！
据报道，当地时间5月3日，阿根廷比索兑美元一度下跌7.8%，创该国实现汇率自由浮动以来最大跌幅；阿根廷世纪债券价格也创历史新低，收益率则涨至8.199%。一般国家的汇率波动超过1%就是不小的波幅了，但今年以来，阿根廷比索兑美元的累计跌幅已经达到15%以上，承受着非常巨大的贬值压力。
为抑制比索的急速下跌，阿根廷央行先是宣布加息300个基点，将基准利率由此前的27.25%升至30.25%，打响了“比索保卫战”的第一枪。但这一次救市的效果并不佳，比索的暴跌态势仍没有止住，该央行在5月3日再度加息300个基点。然而，比索的暴跌仍然再继续，阿根廷被迫再出重拳——于5月4日疯狂加息675个基点，此时利率已经达到了40%（意味着存入银行100元，每年能拿到高达40元的利息）。
这次的加息幅度之大，正常国家差不多需要20年才能完成，而阿根廷也付出了极其惨重的代价——消耗了大量的宝贵外汇储备。据悉，阿根廷央行在今年3月和4月已经动用67.71亿美元的外汇储备，如果再算上这几次用掉的48亿美元，阿根廷已经累计消耗了超过100亿美元来支撑比索汇率，约占其总外汇储备的20%（阿根廷目前只拥有567亿美元的外汇储备），而经济学家预计这还仅仅是个开始！
美联储举起屠刀，土耳其、波兰…..也成为待宰的羔羊？
事实上，阿根廷“八天之内被迫加息三次”的遭遇并非个例，不少新兴市场国家的货币都遭到了狙击。在土耳其，里拉兑美元出现持续性暴跌，已经触及历史最低水平；即使是经济形势良好的波兰，该国货币兹罗提依然遭到了抛售。根据摩根大通的数据，俄罗斯卢布、巴西雷亚尔、土耳其里拉、南非兰特等新兴市场货币自4月以来跌幅高达5%。
尽管这些国家内部也有不少问题，但造成这种局面的“罪魁祸首”正是美国。美联储从2015年12月开始，至今已经六度加息了，如果今年真的加息四次（今年3月已加息一次），美元就将持续走强，美债收益率也会被推高。在这种背景下，越来越多的投资者就开始抛售新兴市场的货币、股票和债券，给这些经济体带来了巨大的压力，甚至演化为一场“金融屠杀”！
从历史上看，美联储加息对经济稳定、外储丰富的国家影响不大，而一些经济结构脆弱、外汇储蓄不足的国家往往会陷入经济崩溃，而这次的阿根廷等国也因此成为屠刀下的羔羊，任人宰割。英国《金融时报》表示，未来如果美元继续走强，可能会引发新兴市场资产更长时间、更大规模的抛售，阿根廷、土耳其等国家将面临更多的痛苦。
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